| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? |
No |
15,000 |
0.285 |
$4,273.49 |
$-3,436.39 |
-44.6% |
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? |
No |
5,000 |
0.795 |
$3,975.00 |
$-94.99 |
-2.3% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
No |
4,350 |
0.830 |
$3,610.61 |
$782.05 |
+27.6% |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? |
No |
5,000 |
0.515 |
$2,575.00 |
$-561.52 |
-17.9% |
| StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? |
No |
1,919 |
0.875 |
$1,679.16 |
$58.31 |
+3.6% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.795 |
$1,589.99 |
$350.00 |
+28.2% |
| Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
No |
1,000 |
0.890 |
$889.99 |
$210.00 |
+30.9% |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
No |
1,000 |
0.865 |
$865.00 |
$-15.00 |
-1.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.815 |
$814.90 |
$124.90 |
+18.1% |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30? |
No |
1,000 |
0.780 |
$780.00 |
$80.00 |
+11.4% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? |
No |
1,000 |
0.755 |
$755.00 |
$145.00 |
+23.8% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.745 |
$744.50 |
$-1.50 |
-0.2% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? |
No |
1,000 |
0.710 |
$709.99 |
$120.00 |
+20.3% |
| Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch? |
Yes |
1,125 |
0.600 |
$675.00 |
$-190.00 |
-22.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.655 |
$655.00 |
$15.00 |
+2.3% |
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.125 |
$625.00 |
$25.00 |
+4.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
1,500 |
0.385 |
$577.50 |
$-52.50 |
-8.3% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
Yes |
7,500 |
0.075 |
$562.50 |
$-686.51 |
-55.0% |
| Aligned FDV above $200M one day after launch? |
No |
750 |
0.670 |
$502.50 |
$-77.50 |
-13.4% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
No |
500 |
0.895 |
$447.50 |
$62.50 |
+16.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
1,500 |
0.280 |
$419.97 |
$-379.96 |
-47.5% |
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? |
No |
4,000 |
0.100 |
$400.05 |
$-670.69 |
-62.6% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? |
No |
1,000 |
0.400 |
$400.00 |
$-70.00 |
-14.9% |
| Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch? |
Yes |
500 |
0.712 |
$355.75 |
$-74.25 |
-17.3% |
| Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? |
Yes |
10,000 |
0.013 |
$125.00 |
$-35.00 |
-21.9% |