| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
No |
401 |
0.890 |
$356.89 |
$-6.02 |
-1.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
216 |
0.885 |
$191.22 |
$-1.14 |
-0.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
201 |
0.695 |
$139.67 |
$-11.08 |
-7.3% |
| Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027? |
Yes |
51 |
0.685 |
$34.94 |
$-10.45 |
-23.0% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? |
Yes |
51 |
0.570 |
$29.06 |
$1.01 |
+3.6% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
51 |
0.463 |
$23.61 |
$-0.05 |
-0.2% |
| Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? |
No |
41 |
0.465 |
$19.07 |
$-5.94 |
-23.8% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? |
No |
72 |
0.245 |
$17.64 |
$-16.38 |
-48.1% |
| Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? |
No |
51 |
0.175 |
$8.92 |
$-9.44 |
-51.4% |
| Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series? |
Yes |
21 |
0.365 |
$7.67 |
$-5.77 |
-43.0% |
| Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? |
Yes |
21 |
0.345 |
$7.24 |
$-6.83 |
-48.5% |
| Will the Seahawks win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? |
No |
21 |
0.325 |
$6.83 |
$-0.32 |
-4.4% |
| Will Alexander Shuvaev win the 2026 Belgorod Oblast gubernatorial elections? |
No |
201 |
0.033 |
$6.63 |
$-9.45 |
-58.7% |
| Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? |
No |
51 |
0.125 |
$6.38 |
$-23.71 |
-78.8% |
| Will Ivar Stenberg win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy? |
Yes |
51 |
0.115 |
$5.87 |
$-1.78 |
-23.3% |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
51 |
0.104 |
$5.33 |
$-11.81 |
-68.9% |
| US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026? |
Yes |
28 |
0.175 |
$4.90 |
$-3.50 |
-41.7% |
| Will CopperTech Metals not IPO before September 2026? |
No |
206 |
0.015 |
$3.09 |
$-12.41 |
-80.1% |
| Will Borjana Krišto be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? |
Yes |
21 |
0.076 |
$1.61 |
$-1.96 |
-55.0% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
25 |
0.060 |
$1.51 |
$-0.01 |
-0.8% |
| Will Shohei Ohtani be the #1 searched person on Google this year? |
Yes |
21 |
0.048 |
$1.00 |
$-2.36 |
-70.3% |
| Will Mo Ivory win the 2026 Fulton Commission Chair election? |
No |
25 |
0.034 |
$0.84 |
$-0.91 |
-52.1% |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $555,000 and $582,000 on September 30? |
Yes |
25 |
0.028 |
$0.69 |
$-8.34 |
-92.4% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting? |
Yes |
53 |
0.013 |
$0.66 |
$-3.50 |
-84.1% |
| Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next? |
No |
24 |
0.004 |
$0.11 |
$-9.73 |
-98.9% |