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Trader leaderboard/FredericChopin

FredericChopin

0x08005e9dc4d8b989465b3a4d8a7a82564e63ceb0
PnL (30d)
−$2,010
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1,267
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-5.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
55%
534W / 429L · 401 open
Win Return (30d)
60%
806W / 536L · 22 open
Trades (30d)
1,364
across 201 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
−$12.56
avg win $38 · loss $99
Profit Factor
0.66
$3,847 won / $5,857 lost
Reward / Risk
0.38
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$246
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $27,576 · all-time $1,035,934

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 55.5% 534W/429L 201 $46,212
🏛 Politics 13.3% 2W/13L 9 $1,973
⚽ Sports 4 $18
🎬 Culture 50.0% 2W/2L 2 $210
💵 Economy 1 $172
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $7

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

90 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 600 0.992 $594.89 $168.50 +39.5%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 351 0.920 $322.97 $3.68 +1.2%
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes 463 0.575 $266.48 $-84.03 -24.0%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No 300 0.725 $217.50 $10.50 +5.1%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 400 0.540 $216.00 $-44.00 -16.9%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? No 910 0.195 $177.45 $-385.85 -68.5%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 200 0.875 $175.00 $3.00 +1.7%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? No 250 0.695 $173.72 $-18.77 -9.8%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 170 0.993 $168.85 $15.69 +10.2%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? No 210 0.700 $147.00 $-10.50 -6.7%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026? No 508 0.268 $136.14 $-39.50 -22.5%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No 100 0.955 $95.50 $1.50 +1.6%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 210 0.450 $94.50 $-18.90 -16.7%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No 100 0.685 $68.50 $-1.50 -2.1%
Will White House post 200+ posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? No 90 0.585 $52.65 $13.05 +33.0%
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 84 0.445 $37.48 $-17.27 -31.5%
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes 210 0.159 $33.39 $-96.81 -74.4%
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? No 30 0.971 $28.90 $2.48 +9.4%
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? No 30 0.950 $28.48 $2.32 +8.9%
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026? No 30 0.940 $28.20 $1.68 +6.3%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group Hanwha Life Esports 100 0.265 $26.48 $-24.49 -48.0%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-18 House seat? No 25 0.905 $22.61 $-0.23 -1.0%
Will His & Hers be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? Yes 300 0.075 $22.50 $-19.50 -46.4%
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No 22 0.886 $19.57 $5.90 +43.2%
Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? No 20 0.949 $18.98 $0.14 +0.7%