| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
7,160 |
0.979 |
$7,006.53 |
$278.54 |
+4.1% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? |
No |
4,545 |
0.983 |
$4,467.77 |
$66.78 |
+1.5% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
No |
4,035 |
0.986 |
$3,976.58 |
$18.13 |
+0.5% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? |
No |
3,191 |
0.962 |
$3,070.21 |
$70.22 |
+2.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? |
No |
3,142 |
0.955 |
$3,000.54 |
$0.55 |
+0.0% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
3,094 |
0.955 |
$2,953.45 |
$-0.54 |
-0.0% |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? |
No |
3,000 |
0.929 |
$2,788.50 |
$25.50 |
+0.9% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,659 |
0.915 |
$2,433.30 |
$13.30 |
+0.5% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
2,524 |
0.935 |
$2,359.74 |
$159.74 |
+7.3% |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? |
No |
2,166 |
0.933 |
$2,021.56 |
$21.56 |
+1.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
2,000 |
0.973 |
$1,945.00 |
$1.00 |
+0.1% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
1,838 |
0.963 |
$1,768.78 |
$12.79 |
+0.7% |
| Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? |
No |
1,761 |
0.935 |
$1,646.09 |
$-53.91 |
-3.2% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31? |
No |
1,500 |
0.985 |
$1,477.12 |
$16.50 |
+1.1% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,512 |
0.977 |
$1,476.82 |
$21.93 |
+1.5% |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027? |
No |
1,358 |
0.960 |
$1,303.41 |
$3.41 |
+0.3% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
1,250 |
0.875 |
$1,093.75 |
$-6.25 |
-0.6% |
| Iran leadership change by August 31? |
No |
1,000 |
0.977 |
$976.50 |
$32.50 |
+3.4% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.948 |
$948.00 |
$24.00 |
+2.6% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
942 |
0.945 |
$890.37 |
$14.13 |
+1.6% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
No |
873 |
0.980 |
$855.52 |
$18.98 |
+2.3% |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? |
No |
826 |
0.981 |
$810.24 |
$10.24 |
+1.3% |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? |
No |
849 |
0.932 |
$791.95 |
$1.09 |
+0.1% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
714 |
0.935 |
$667.43 |
$67.43 |
+11.2% |
| Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
614 |
0.987 |
$605.87 |
$5.87 |
+1.0% |