| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
3,399 |
0.935 |
$3,178.05 |
$142.15 |
+4.7% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
No |
400 |
0.986 |
$394.20 |
$7.80 |
+2.0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
170 |
0.925 |
$157.25 |
$7.65 |
+5.1% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
180 |
0.855 |
$153.90 |
$33.60 |
+27.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
123 |
0.835 |
$102.70 |
$11.23 |
+12.3% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
105 |
0.850 |
$89.20 |
$55.70 |
+166.3% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
70 |
0.935 |
$65.45 |
$5.95 |
+10.0% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? |
No |
70 |
0.905 |
$63.35 |
$12.25 |
+24.0% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
58 |
0.954 |
$55.31 |
$1.71 |
+3.2% |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
No |
40 |
0.895 |
$35.80 |
$2.00 |
+5.9% |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? |
No |
30 |
0.919 |
$27.59 |
$2.83 |
+11.5% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? |
No |
20 |
0.920 |
$18.40 |
$1.85 |
+11.2% |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? |
No |
15 |
0.940 |
$14.10 |
$1.20 |
+9.3% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
No |
12 |
0.805 |
$9.66 |
$1.02 |
+11.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
15 |
0.615 |
$9.22 |
$-1.52 |
-14.2% |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? |
No |
10 |
0.907 |
$9.07 |
$0.02 |
+0.2% |
| Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.905 |
$9.05 |
$2.45 |
+37.1% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? |
Yes |
10 |
0.750 |
$7.50 |
$0.20 |
+2.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
8 |
0.865 |
$6.92 |
$0.20 |
+3.0% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
No |
7 |
0.830 |
$5.81 |
$0.91 |
+18.6% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
No |
6 |
0.835 |
$5.01 |
$0.03 |
+0.6% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.830 |
$4.97 |
$0.78 |
+18.6% |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? |
No |
6 |
0.815 |
$4.89 |
$-0.09 |
-1.8% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? |
Yes |
5 |
0.960 |
$4.80 |
$1.25 |
+35.1% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? |
No |
6 |
0.790 |
$4.74 |
$-0.42 |
-8.1% |