| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
10,200 |
0.086 |
$872.10 |
$384.52 |
+78.9% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
9,450 |
0.089 |
$841.05 |
$288.88 |
+52.3% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
5,545 |
0.143 |
$795.77 |
$233.79 |
+41.6% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
17,243 |
0.044 |
$767.33 |
$217.97 |
+39.7% |
| US recession by end of 2026? |
Yes |
8,248 |
0.080 |
$659.86 |
$-619.91 |
-48.4% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1,210 |
0.460 |
$555.99 |
$-23.60 |
-4.1% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
4,099 |
0.135 |
$553.36 |
$-201.97 |
-26.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
3,900 |
0.135 |
$526.49 |
$-193.90 |
-26.9% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
2,446 |
0.209 |
$512.44 |
$-48.82 |
-8.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
900 |
0.405 |
$364.50 |
$-24.50 |
-6.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
900 |
0.405 |
$364.50 |
$-26.50 |
-6.8% |
| ECB rate cut in 2026? |
Yes |
3,258 |
0.090 |
$293.18 |
$-390.37 |
-57.1% |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
109,725 |
0.003 |
$274.31 |
$-589.22 |
-68.2% |
| Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? |
Yes |
2,373 |
0.095 |
$225.42 |
$-30.87 |
-12.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
300 |
0.555 |
$166.50 |
$23.50 |
+16.4% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
300 |
0.555 |
$166.50 |
$22.50 |
+15.6% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? |
Yes |
1,599 |
0.095 |
$151.93 |
$-51.23 |
-25.2% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
232 |
0.635 |
$147.38 |
$17.41 |
+13.4% |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? |
Yes |
999 |
0.145 |
$144.87 |
$-50.94 |
-26.0% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
6,245 |
0.023 |
$143.64 |
$50.79 |
+54.7% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? |
Yes |
800 |
0.161 |
$128.80 |
$18.27 |
+16.5% |
| Major CEX insolvent in 2026? |
Yes |
2,548 |
0.045 |
$115.93 |
$-74.60 |
-39.2% |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? |
No |
2,100 |
0.053 |
$112.35 |
$-37.78 |
-25.2% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.963 |
$96.25 |
$5.85 |
+6.5% |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? |
Yes |
3,080 |
0.025 |
$78.23 |
$-32.89 |
-29.6% |