PnL (30d)

+$338

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$12

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+2.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

35%

194W / 366L · 12 open

Win Return (30d)

34%

195W / 372L · 5 open

Trades (30d)

572

across 75 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

+$5.05

avg win $23 · loss $16

Profit Factor

1.67

$844 won / $505 lost

Reward / Risk

1.44

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$23

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	34.6% 194W/366L	75	$23,218
🏛 Politics	54.5% 6W/5L	17	$54
🎬 Culture	54.5% 6W/5L	17	$54

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	37	0.173	$6.42	$1.15	+21.8%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	210	0.024	$4.93	$-10.98	-69.0%