PnL (30d)

−$1,141

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$42

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-5.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

53%

69W / 60L · 128 open

Win Return (30d)

69%

176W / 79L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

257

across 28 markets · ~9 per market

EV / position

−$60.04

avg win $32 · loss $259

Profit Factor

0.27

$413 won / $1,554 lost

Reward / Risk

0.12

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	53.5% 69W/60L	28	$29,881
🏛 Politics	—	2	$2,583
💵 Economy	—	1	$2,160

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	1,883	0.775	$1,458.97	$26.57	+1.9%
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?	No	446	0.940	$418.91	$12.91	+3.2%
Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?	Yes	50	0.435	$21.75	$-15.75	-42.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	15	0.885	$13.03	$0.07	+0.6%