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Trader leaderboard/Spectrum

Spectrum

0x0781872fe78deb6ad8147e482952b4a5461ec4ff
PnL (30d)
−$97
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1,517
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
46%
189W / 219L · 1,355 open
Win Return (30d)
68%
1,189W / 569L · 5 open
Trades (30d)
1,763
across 413 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$0.63
avg win $21 · loss $16
Profit Factor
0.93
$1,354 won / $1,451 lost
Reward / Risk
1.24
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$94
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $12,028 · all-time $1,659,986

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 46.3% 189W/219L 413 $40,005
⚽ Sports 31.2% 5W/11L 59 $4,636
🏛 Politics 13.3% 2W/13L 26 $1,454
🎬 Culture 100.0% 3W/0L 8 $529
💵 Economy 20.0% 1W/4L 7 $539

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Troy Green be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma? No 400 1.000 $399.80 $51.80 +14.9%
Will the Minnesota Lynx make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? Yes 400 1.000 $399.80 $55.02 +16.0%
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No 400 0.998 $399.00 $7.00 +1.8%
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series? No 400 0.991 $396.56 $12.56 +3.3%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No 401 0.986 $395.58 $15.58 +4.1%
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05? No 400 0.987 $394.60 $61.55 +18.5%
Will Ashley Trail come in third-place on Big Brother season 28? No 400 0.984 $393.77 $14.03 +3.7%
Will Dallas Wings win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No 400 0.957 $382.60 $14.60 +4.0%
Will Rome Seymour come in third-place on Big Brother season 28? No 399 0.954 $380.45 $13.37 +3.6%
Will the Toronto Tempo make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? No 400 0.950 $380.00 $31.67 +9.1%
Will Paige Bueckers win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? No 400 0.947 $378.60 $-1.40 -0.4%
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-19 House seat? Yes 400 0.940 $376.25 $0.25 +0.1%
Will the Portland Fire make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? No 400 0.940 $376.00 $23.64 +6.7%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%? No 402 0.901 $362.62 $-6.48 -1.8%
Will Taylor Fritz Win ATP Montreal No 400 0.905 $362.00 $-1.90 -0.5%
Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23? No 362 0.997 $361.41 $24.92 +7.4%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-03 House seat? No 400 0.895 $358.00 $-2.00 -0.6%
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No 400 0.895 $358.00 $-2.84 -0.8%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-03 House seat? Yes 400 0.885 $354.00 $-2.00 -0.6%
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the September decision? No 396 0.845 $334.62 $0.78 +0.2%
Will the Athletics clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No 330 0.992 $326.89 $29.86 +10.1%
Will James Dees be the Republican nominee for AL-01? No 306 1.000 $305.87 $16.16 +5.6%
Will Josh Weil be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? No 301 1.000 $300.65 $9.65 +3.3%
Will the Democratic Party win the CT-04 House seat? Yes 300 0.955 $286.50 $7.10 +2.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%? No 400 0.715 $286.00 $14.90 +5.5%