PnL (30d)

−$369

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-5.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

18%

34W / 156L · 26 open

Win Return (30d)

23%

50W / 166L

Trades (30d)

216

across 16 markets · ~14 per market

EV / position

−$36.85

avg win $100 · loss $174

Profit Factor

0.58

$499 won / $868 lost

Reward / Risk

0.58

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$3

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	17.9% 34W/156L	16	$13,485
🏛 Politics	—	3	$473

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

62 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-07 House seat?	Yes	441	0.945	$416.56	$-2.43	-0.6%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat?	Yes	8,085	0.041	$327.46	$-247.65	-43.1%
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-06 House seat?	Yes	281	0.939	$263.86	$4.78	+1.8%
Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?	Yes	269	0.945	$254.19	$1.34	+0.5%
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Yes	270	0.870	$235.27	$18.93	+8.7%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	233	0.940	$218.55	$24.60	+12.7%
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	233	0.775	$180.56	$135.65	+302.0%
Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?	Yes	211	0.830	$175.13	$12.66	+7.8%
Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?	Yes	183	0.928	$170.26	$6.60	+4.0%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	212	0.675	$143.11	$34.98	+32.4%
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?	Yes	151	0.940	$142.02	$1.51	+1.1%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?	Yes	171	0.765	$130.81	$17.83	+15.8%
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-08 House seat?	Yes	643	0.195	$125.39	$3.21	+2.6%
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat?	Yes	115	0.938	$108.25	$-0.41	-0.4%
Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	102	0.947	$96.77	$1.74	+1.8%
Will the Republican Party win the AL-01 House seat?	Yes	100	0.935	$93.50	$0.50	+0.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-01 House seat?	Yes	100	0.935	$93.50	$0.50	+0.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-01 House seat?	Yes	100	0.935	$93.50	$1.50	+1.6%
Will the Republican Party win the IL-16 House seat?	Yes	100	0.915	$91.50	$7.50	+8.9%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-07 House seat?	No	91	0.972	$87.98	$1.99	+2.3%
Will Wendy Huang win the CA-14 special election?	No	83	0.998	$82.75	$0.92	+1.1%
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	87	0.940	$81.69	$5.51	+7.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-03 House seat?	Yes	83	0.935	$78.02	$4.59	+6.2%
Will Rakesh Christian win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?	No	76	0.980	$74.88	$-1.38	-1.8%
Will Victor Aguilar Jr. win the CA-14 special election?	No	73	0.990	$72.00	$1.94	+2.8%