PnL (30d)

−$109

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$79

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

11%

2W / 17L · 55 open

Win Return (30d)

36%

27W / 47L

Trades (30d)

74

across 23 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$13.65

avg win $43 · loss $32

Profit Factor

0.44

$85 won / $195 lost

Reward / Risk

1.32

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$0

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	10.5% 2W/17L	23	$9,570
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/1L	6	$2,852
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$256

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	747	0.785	$586.46	$284.56	+94.3%
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No	500	0.855	$427.50	$2.50	+0.6%
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	245	0.105	$25.77	$-17.04	-39.8%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	No	60	0.295	$17.70	$-17.10	-49.1%