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Trader leaderboard/0x073e8A24024B38d69A2723A9dAC1FfDaeB658416-1766385716979

0x073e8A24024B38d69A2723A9dAC1FfDaeB658416-1766385716979

0x073e8a24024b38d69a2723a9dac1ffdaeb658416
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$896
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$21
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+5.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
51%
307W / 291L · 129 open
Win Return (30d)
46%
318W / 378L · 31 open
Trades (30d)
727
across 147 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$9.53
avg win $126 · loss $6
Profit Factor
2.83
$1,384 won / $489 lost
Reward / Risk
21.38
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$81
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $60,691 · all-time $1,320,925

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 18.8% 482W/2,083L 1569 $172,174
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/28L 138 $10,855
💵 Economy 10.7% 6W/50L 96 $5,869
⚽ Sports 3.0% 2W/65L 94 $2,935
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/41L 80 $3,329
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/9L 40 $1,865
₿ Crypto 15.4% 4W/22L 29 $946
🌤 Weather 2 $102
🔬 Science 2 $102

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

40 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No 281 0.831 $233.17 $-4.22 -1.8%
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $300B by December 31? No 211 0.880 $185.69 $-4.22 -2.2%
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%? Yes 642 0.065 $41.76 $-113.20 -73.0%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? Yes 400 0.055 $22.00 $-6.00 -21.4%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by August 31, 2026? Yes 20 0.435 $8.70 $-5.30 -37.9%
Will Trump say "Trump Kennedy Center" or "Trump-Kennedy Center" in August? Yes 20 0.300 $6.00 $-3.40 -36.2%
Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%? No 22 0.265 $5.80 $-6.45 -52.7%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028? No 17 0.300 $5.10 $-8.15 -61.5%
Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Romania? Yes 15 0.297 $4.39 $0.10 +2.4%
Will Braeden Caley win the 2026 North Vancouver—Capilano by-election? No 199 0.021 $4.08 $-71.38 -94.6%
Will Cloud9 Win More than 5.5 Matches in LCS 2026 Summer Split? O 5.5 20 0.190 $3.80 $-5.40 -58.7%
Will Trump say "Trump Strait" or "Strait of Trump" in August? Yes 20 0.155 $3.10 $-5.90 -65.6%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No 4 0.595 $2.62 $0.68 +35.2%
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? Yes 3 0.984 $2.60 $0.04 +1.4%
Will Daniil Medvedev Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings No 20 0.125 $2.50 $-4.10 -62.1%
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31? No 3 0.760 $2.13 $-0.03 -1.3%
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $12.5B by December 31? No 3 0.790 $2.02 $-0.03 -1.3%
Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings No 20 0.100 $2.00 $-3.60 -64.3%
Will Dusan Vlahovic join Manchester United? Yes 20 0.092 $1.84 $-5.84 -76.0%
Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? No 3 0.696 $1.81 $-0.28 -13.5%
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? No 2 0.918 $1.54 $0.02 +1.6%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? Yes 2 0.920 $1.53 $-0.13 -7.8%
Will Detroit Lions finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards? No 2 0.935 $1.44 $0.04 +2.7%
Beezie FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes 2 0.765 $1.36 $-0.08 -5.6%
Will "Alien" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 3? No 5 0.285 $1.36 $-0.02 -1.8%