PnL (30d)

−$78

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$42

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

47%

3,656W / 4,049L · 737 open

Win Return (30d)

50%

4,106W / 4,152L · 184 open

Trades (30d)

8,442

across 386 markets · ~22 per market

EV / position

−$0.28

avg win $1 · loss $2

Profit Factor

0.68

$170 won / $248 lost

Reward / Risk

0.87

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$44

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	47.4% 3,656W/4,049L	386	$40,339
🏛 Politics	61.4% 516W/324L	86	$4,662
🎬 Culture	61.4% 516W/324L	86	$4,662

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

30 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	30	0.815	$24.45	$-0.45	-1.8%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	30	0.525	$15.75	$-0.15	-0.9%
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	30	0.115	$3.44	$3.10	+940.9%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	5	0.585	$3.16	$-0.39	-11.0%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	5	0.415	$2.24	$0.03	+1.3%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	30	0.070	$2.10	$0.00	+0.0%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	33	0.018	$0.61	$-0.11	-14.6%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	30	0.013	$0.40	$0.13	+50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	30	0.009	$0.26	$0.10	+70.0%
Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	3	0.069	$0.21	$0.20	+2182.3%
Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	3	0.064	$0.19	$0.18	+2015.1%
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	13	0.015	$0.19	$0.16	+573.1%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	30	0.005	$0.16	$0.01	+9.9%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	30	0.003	$0.07	$-0.01	-16.7%
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	3	0.024	$0.07	$0.07	+1097.8%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	30	0.002	$0.04	$0.01	+50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	30	0.002	$0.04	$-0.04	-50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	2	0.018	$0.04	$0.03	+820.9%
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	2	0.017	$0.03	$0.03	+746.0%
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	2	0.015	$0.03	$0.03	+671.2%
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	60	0.001	$0.03	$-0.57	-95.0%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	30	0.001	$0.01	$-0.01	-50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	30	0.001	$0.01	$-0.01	-50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	30	0.001	$0.01	$-0.04	-74.9%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	30	0.001	$0.01	$-0.01	-50.0%