Trader
0x06cb73531a43553e31a8ad031026d4b33f1af47f
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
95%
42W / 2L · 70 open
Win Return (30d)
37%
42W / 72L
Trades (30d)
114
across 5 markets · ~23 per market
EV / position
−$0.11
avg win $0 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.59
$1 won / $1 lost
Reward / Risk
0.20
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2 · all-time $17,460
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
5 |
0.952 |
$5.12 |
$0.17 |
+3.5% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
5 |
0.978 |
$4.70 |
$0.02 |
+0.4% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
5 |
0.845 |
$4.42 |
$0.21 |
+4.9% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
Yes |
27 |
0.055 |
$1.46 |
$-3.06 |
-67.6% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
2 |
0.260 |
$0.56 |
$-0.17 |
-23.5% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
2 |
0.125 |
$0.27 |
$-0.77 |
-74.0% |