| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
4,300 |
0.961 |
$4,130.15 |
$276.17 |
+7.2% |
| Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026? |
No |
3,875 |
0.900 |
$3,487.13 |
$676.15 |
+24.1% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
4,000 |
0.655 |
$2,620.00 |
$840.00 |
+47.2% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,000 |
0.885 |
$1,770.00 |
$60.00 |
+3.5% |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
1,206 |
1.000 |
$1,205.62 |
$224.83 |
+22.9% |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.998 |
$998.00 |
$23.00 |
+2.4% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.963 |
$962.48 |
$60.50 |
+6.7% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
No |
1,532 |
0.605 |
$926.86 |
$205.18 |
+28.4% |
| US recession by end of 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.905 |
$905.00 |
$135.00 |
+17.5% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
800 |
0.940 |
$751.60 |
$134.00 |
+21.7% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
700 |
0.980 |
$685.62 |
$34.65 |
+5.3% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
970 |
0.680 |
$659.37 |
$64.18 |
+10.8% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? |
No |
600 |
0.904 |
$542.40 |
$110.40 |
+25.6% |
| Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.981 |
$490.50 |
$120.50 |
+32.6% |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
Yes |
500 |
0.979 |
$489.50 |
$34.50 |
+7.6% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.967 |
$483.25 |
$33.25 |
+7.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.560 |
$280.00 |
$-10.00 |
-3.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
226 |
0.815 |
$184.41 |
$35.05 |
+23.5% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
166 |
0.845 |
$140.54 |
$15.80 |
+12.7% |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? |
Yes |
96 |
0.863 |
$82.81 |
$7.92 |
+10.6% |
| Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? |
No |
21 |
0.895 |
$18.91 |
$2.85 |
+17.8% |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? |
No |
90 |
0.105 |
$9.45 |
$-66.15 |
-87.5% |