PnL (30d)

+$171

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$47

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+20.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

100%

5W / 0L · 7 open

Win Return (30d)

67%

8W / 4L

Trades (30d)

12

across 6 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$85.55

avg win $86

Profit Factor

∞

no losses yet

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	100.0% 5W/0L	11	$1,450
💵 Economy	100.0% 5W/0L	6	$821
🏛 Politics	100.0% 5W/0L	5	$771

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

20 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2026 NFC West?	No	464	0.515	$238.91	$2.32	+1.0%
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	44,000	0.004	$198.00	$-154.00	-43.8%
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	3,000	0.065	$195.00	$-4.97	-2.5%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	10,491	0.013	$131.14	$26.23	+25.0%
Will the Seattle Mariners win more than 88.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	O 88.5	1,227	0.085	$104.28	$-382.71	-78.6%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	200	0.515	$103.00	$21.00	+25.6%
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	200	0.375	$75.00	$25.00	+50.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	100	0.615	$61.50	$5.50	+9.8%
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	20,000	0.003	$50.00	$-150.00	-75.0%
US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	400	0.080	$32.00	$-68.00	-68.0%
Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2026 NFC West?	Yes	59	0.315	$18.66	$-0.06	-0.3%
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	Yes	100	0.125	$12.50	$0.50	+4.2%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	1,076	0.011	$12.38	$1.61	+15.0%
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	100	0.096	$9.60	$-41.40	-81.2%
Databricks IPO before 2027?	Yes	100	0.085	$8.50	$-43.50	-83.7%
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	200	0.034	$6.80	$-5.00	-42.4%
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	100	0.065	$6.50	$-10.50	-61.8%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	100	0.015	$1.55	$-2.35	-60.3%
Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?	Yes	100	0.013	$1.35	$-28.65	-95.5%
Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 NL West title?	Yes	100	0.011	$1.05	$-7.05	-87.0%