PnL (30d)

−$11

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-8.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

30%

10W / 23L · 32 open

Win Return (30d)

58%

32W / 23L · 10 open

Trades (30d)

65

across 13 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$1.55

avg win $0 · loss $3

Profit Factor

0.05

$1 won / $11 lost

Reward / Risk

0.06

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$6

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	70.5% 194W/81L	129	$1,758
⚽ Sports	80.0% 8W/2L	6	$59
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/3L	5	$35
💵 Economy	—	3	$20

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	48	0.985	$47.55	$0.96	+2.1%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	7	0.815	$6.01	$0.11	+1.9%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	5	0.345	$1.86	$-0.14	-6.8%