PnL (30d)

+$8

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$6

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

85%

94W / 17L · 26 open

Win Return (30d)

78%

107W / 30L

Trades (30d)

137

across 35 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

+$0.28

avg win $3 · loss $13

Profit Factor

1.13

$73 won / $65 lost

Reward / Risk

0.23

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$14

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	84.7% 94W/17L	35	$551
🏛 Politics	100.0% 10W/0L	6	$121
🎬 Culture	100.0% 10W/0L	6	$121

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	39	0.925	$36.20	$2.80	+8.4%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	37	0.982	$36.08	$5.42	+17.7%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	38	0.815	$30.87	$-1.04	-3.3%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	15	0.845	$12.96	$-0.08	-0.6%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	16	0.755	$11.97	$-1.51	-11.2%