PnL (30d)

+$546

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$17

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+2.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

87%

2,929W / 447L · 97 open

Win Return (30d)

87%

2,951W / 457L · 65 open

Trades (30d)

3,473

across 755 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

+$0.77

avg win $5 · loss $24

Profit Factor

1.24

$2,826 won / $2,280 lost

Reward / Risk

0.19

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$223

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	84.3% 11,123W/2,078L	2579	$102,691
🌤 Weather	81.5% 621W/141L	128	$5,805

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

76 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 5?	No	300	0.973	$291.90	$20.50	+7.6%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 5?	No	300	0.905	$271.50	$3.69	+1.4%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5?	No	300	0.890	$267.00	$23.35	+9.6%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 5?	No	250	1.000	$249.88	$32.73	+15.1%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 5?	No	295	0.845	$249.28	$-16.57	-6.2%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 5?	No	194	0.950	$183.90	$14.61	+8.6%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 6?	No	197	0.830	$163.84	$6.71	+4.3%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 5?	No	216	0.745	$160.61	$0.91	+0.6%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 5?	No	100	0.999	$99.85	$5.95	+6.3%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 6?	No	100	0.965	$96.50	$1.50	+1.6%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 6?	No	84	0.930	$78.07	$1.74	+2.3%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on August 6?	No	88	0.815	$71.71	$1.47	+2.1%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 5?	No	60	1.000	$59.97	$12.57	+26.5%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 6?	No	60	0.950	$57.00	$0.90	+1.6%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 6?	No	60	0.910	$54.60	$0.00	+0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 5?	No	40	1.000	$39.98	$4.58	+12.9%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 6?	No	40	0.935	$37.40	$1.40	+3.9%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 5?	No	40	0.925	$37.00	$3.00	+8.8%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 5?	No	40	0.875	$35.00	$3.40	+10.8%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 6?	No	36	0.965	$34.74	$0.18	+0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 6?	No	40	0.855	$34.20	$1.00	+3.0%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 5?	Yes	125	0.255	$31.95	$5.31	+19.9%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 5?	No	40	0.775	$31.00	$0.40	+1.3%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 5?	No	30	0.960	$28.80	$5.40	+23.1%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 6?	No	30	0.942	$28.26	$0.25	+0.9%