| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
526 |
0.969 |
$509.73 |
$9.74 |
+1.9% |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? |
No |
434 |
0.954 |
$413.82 |
$2.39 |
+0.6% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
500 |
0.816 |
$407.75 |
$157.75 |
+63.1% |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? |
Yes |
494 |
0.735 |
$362.88 |
$147.78 |
+68.7% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
267 |
0.905 |
$241.35 |
$0.67 |
+0.3% |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? |
No |
233 |
0.973 |
$226.90 |
$-1.52 |
-0.7% |
| Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? |
Yes |
4,167 |
0.036 |
$152.08 |
$2.09 |
+1.4% |
| Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.032 |
$96.00 |
$-6.00 |
-5.9% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
500 |
0.184 |
$92.25 |
$-157.75 |
-63.1% |
| Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid? |
Yes |
69 |
0.959 |
$66.25 |
$-1.43 |
-2.1% |
| Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? |
Yes |
53 |
0.979 |
$51.68 |
$42.18 |
+444.2% |
| Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? |
Yes |
4,200 |
0.011 |
$48.30 |
$-56.70 |
-54.0% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? |
No |
36 |
0.955 |
$34.34 |
$0.34 |
+1.0% |
| Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO? |
Yes |
97 |
0.240 |
$23.34 |
$-45.70 |
-66.2% |
| Will OpenAI raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO? |
Yes |
105 |
0.208 |
$21.94 |
$-51.90 |
-70.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
104 |
0.205 |
$21.36 |
$-12.25 |
-36.4% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET |
Up |
72 |
0.255 |
$18.34 |
$-23.08 |
-55.7% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
45 |
0.235 |
$10.64 |
$-12.58 |
-54.2% |
| Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election? |
Yes |
9 |
0.994 |
$9.17 |
$0.52 |
+6.0% |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? |
No |
9 |
0.715 |
$6.67 |
$1.83 |
+37.9% |
| Will Kobey Layne win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election? |
No |
5 |
1.000 |
$5.01 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Steve Simon win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election? |
No |
5 |
1.000 |
$5.01 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Bill Gates Jr. win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election? |
No |
5 |
0.997 |
$4.98 |
$-0.01 |
-0.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.485 |
$4.85 |
$0.85 |
+21.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
No |
40 |
0.055 |
$2.20 |
$-15.30 |
-87.4% |