PnL (30d)

+$1,023

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$3,345

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

84%

207W / 40L · 1,485 open

Win Return (30d)

47%

822W / 910L

Trades (30d)

1,732

across 50 markets · ~35 per market

EV / position

+$113.65

avg win $337 · loss $166

Profit Factor

2.54

$1,685 won / $662 lost

Reward / Risk

2.04

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$581

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	83.8% 207W/40L	50	$252,352
₿ Crypto	100.0% 2W/0L	19	$5,709
💵 Economy	100.0% 2W/0L	19	$5,709
🏛 Politics	—	2	$1,321

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

38 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	12,174	0.750	$9,130.46	$73.75	+0.8%
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	13,498	0.505	$6,816.71	$730.33	+12.0%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?	Yes	4,973	0.835	$4,152.35	$583.62	+16.4%
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	6,775	0.590	$3,997.18	$-717.24	-15.2%
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	10,578	0.335	$3,543.63	$1,051.99	+42.2%
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	8,369	0.330	$2,761.64	$13.24	+0.5%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	Yes	3,067	0.855	$2,622.59	$168.66	+6.9%
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	5,607	0.400	$2,242.87	$706.12	+45.9%
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	2,892	0.696	$2,012.30	$-325.55	-13.9%
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	1,988	0.903	$1,796.60	$462.71	+34.7%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	8,103	0.215	$1,742.04	$-978.71	-36.0%
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	1,726	0.945	$1,631.29	$3.01	+0.2%
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	7,094	0.195	$1,383.36	$387.38	+38.9%
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	928	0.870	$807.75	$76.20	+10.4%
Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	858	0.930	$797.79	$59.82	+8.1%
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	747	0.993	$741.75	$34.08	+4.8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	754	0.835	$629.66	$233.11	+58.8%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	696	0.867	$603.28	$29.47	+5.1%
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	9,847	0.055	$541.56	$-155.08	-22.3%
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	4,471	0.113	$505.22	$72.09	+16.6%
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	550	0.915	$503.20	$85.24	+20.4%
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?	No	688	0.685	$471.01	$72.20	+18.1%
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	500	0.925	$462.50	$17.50	+3.9%
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	424	0.966	$409.82	$13.04	+3.3%
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	459	0.831	$381.82	$31.22	+8.9%