| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
48,629 |
0.985 |
$47,875.65 |
$669.68 |
+1.4% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
No |
48,923 |
0.961 |
$46,990.32 |
$1,243.18 |
+2.7% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
No |
36,922 |
0.945 |
$34,890.83 |
$2,825.20 |
+8.8% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
20,963 |
0.926 |
$19,421.81 |
$199.14 |
+1.0% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
17,777 |
0.980 |
$17,412.56 |
$-8.89 |
-0.1% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
12,333 |
0.970 |
$11,963.01 |
$406.99 |
+3.5% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in August? |
No |
11,111 |
0.985 |
$10,938.78 |
$-27.78 |
-0.3% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? |
Yes |
8,888 |
0.986 |
$8,763.55 |
$79.99 |
+0.9% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
8,888 |
0.981 |
$8,714.68 |
$111.10 |
+1.3% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
No |
6,666 |
0.985 |
$6,562.66 |
$129.99 |
+2.0% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
494 |
0.995 |
$491.36 |
$3.46 |
+0.7% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
No |
226 |
0.955 |
$215.44 |
$5.64 |
+2.7% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting? |
No |
138 |
0.987 |
$136.38 |
$1.87 |
+1.4% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
1 |
0.963 |
$1.35 |
$0.08 |
+6.1% |