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0x0509d64aac136cbc253b7e208e4bacfe6c786e98
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$104
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
61%
154W / 100L
Trades (30d)
254
across 27 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $2,417,787

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 27 $9,471
🏛 Politics 13 $1,367

Open positions

54 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 14,632 0.945 $13,826.96 $2,456.31 +21.6%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 10,100 0.995 $10,049.49 $77.66 +0.8%
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 9,572 0.996 $9,528.73 $171.91 +1.8%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No 9,659 0.905 $8,741.74 $3,069.45 +54.1%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 7,991 0.988 $7,890.70 $76.65 +1.0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 7,408 0.975 $7,219.17 $139.70 +2.0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 5,029 0.985 $4,950.87 $59.28 +1.2%
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 4,000 0.994 $3,974.00 $14.53 +0.4%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 3,900 0.995 $3,878.55 $16.78 +0.4%
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 363,781 0.006 $2,364.58 $-1,273.23 -35.0%
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 3,770 0.595 $2,243.12 $171.08 +8.3%
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 4,885 0.405 $1,978.38 $-168.18 -7.8%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 2,057 0.956 $1,965.35 $-16.72 -0.8%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 1,800 0.992 $1,784.70 $-2.50 -0.1%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 6,224 0.278 $1,727.03 $890.54 +106.5%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 1,370 0.911 $1,249.06 $-37.54 -2.9%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 1,100 0.998 $1,097.25 $9.21 +0.8%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 5,810 0.184 $1,071.85 $-414.07 -27.9%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 1,219 0.866 $1,055.36 $-65.18 -5.8%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 865 0.994 $859.32 $5.43 +0.6%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 794 0.978 $776.44 $13.77 +1.8%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 1,549 0.460 $711.93 $109.92 +18.3%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 8,320 0.086 $711.33 $343.21 +93.2%
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes 12,247 0.045 $551.11 $-2,265.65 -80.4%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 500 0.992 $495.78 $2.35 +0.5%