thearbi
0x05031e18eb1db614e93ca54f5e2a006ff816db3d
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$160
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
—
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
0%
0W / 2L
Trades (30d)
2
across 1 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
—
no settled positions
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,040 · all-time $350,837
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
2,858 |
0.100 |
$285.76 |
$-879.78 |
-75.5% |
| Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? |
Yes |
950 |
0.290 |
$275.50 |
$-71.50 |
-20.6% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.145 |
$145.00 |
$-150.00 |
-50.8% |
| Squid FDV above $100M one day after launch |
Yes |
40 |
0.745 |
$30.17 |
$11.95 |
+65.6% |
| Makina FDV above $80M one day after launch? |
Yes |
100 |
0.095 |
$9.50 |
$-39.50 |
-80.6% |
| Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? |
No |
5 |
0.969 |
$5.25 |
$0.14 |
+2.8% |
| Squid FDV above $200M one day after launch |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.004 |
$4.00 |
$-7.00 |
-63.6% |