| Will the US lose jobs in July? |
No |
801 |
0.930 |
$745.77 |
$187.76 |
+33.6% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July? |
No |
812 |
0.835 |
$677.88 |
$51.22 |
+8.2% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? |
No |
1,140 |
0.540 |
$615.64 |
$-68.13 |
-10.0% |
| Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? |
Yes |
600 |
0.940 |
$564.00 |
$66.28 |
+13.3% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? |
No |
606 |
0.690 |
$417.86 |
$-9.24 |
-2.2% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
No |
303 |
0.955 |
$289.09 |
$16.65 |
+6.1% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
541 |
0.490 |
$265.09 |
$-117.70 |
-30.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? |
Yes |
592 |
0.440 |
$260.48 |
$16.93 |
+7.0% |
| Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July? |
No |
307 |
0.755 |
$232.12 |
$8.36 |
+3.7% |
| Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? |
Yes |
295 |
0.780 |
$229.72 |
$60.90 |
+36.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat? |
No |
244 |
0.845 |
$206.20 |
$8.75 |
+4.4% |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? |
Yes |
180 |
0.863 |
$155.66 |
$80.08 |
+105.9% |
| Will Trump Airport become law this year? |
No |
152 |
0.941 |
$142.64 |
$8.49 |
+6.3% |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? |
Yes |
510 |
0.265 |
$135.15 |
$16.52 |
+13.9% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? |
Yes |
827 |
0.160 |
$132.24 |
$-158.03 |
-54.4% |
| Will Shelley Hughes advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? |
No |
125 |
0.956 |
$119.50 |
$9.50 |
+8.6% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? |
No |
307 |
0.330 |
$101.45 |
$-6.47 |
-6.0% |
| Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
800 |
0.115 |
$92.00 |
$-20.00 |
-17.9% |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
296 |
0.300 |
$88.93 |
$6.19 |
+7.5% |
| Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET? |
No |
90 |
0.991 |
$88.65 |
$25.43 |
+40.2% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
126 |
0.685 |
$86.07 |
$5.19 |
+6.4% |
| Will Drake be the third most streamed artist for 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.265 |
$79.50 |
$-1.50 |
-1.9% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat? |
Yes |
92 |
0.830 |
$76.07 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? |
No |
141 |
0.530 |
$74.73 |
$56.03 |
+299.6% |
| Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
No |
100 |
0.740 |
$74.00 |
$34.00 |
+85.0% |