PnL (30d)

+$10

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$8

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+81.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

35%

30W / 55L · 49 open

Win Return (30d)

54%

70W / 60L · 4 open

Trades (30d)

134

across 50 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$0.30

avg win $2 · loss $0

Profit Factor

2.58

$16 won / $6 lost

Reward / Risk

9.59

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	50.6% 1,101W/1,074L	918	$1,553
⚽ Sports	36.4% 76W/133L	114	$84
🎬 Culture	36.4% 20W/35L	23	$30
₿ Crypto	55.0% 11W/9L	18	$46
🏛 Politics	54.8% 17W/14L	14	$27
💵 Economy	35.7% 5W/9L	12	$44
🤖 Tech	12.5% 3W/21L	12	$4
🌤 Weather	0.0% 0W/11L	10	$2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

37 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: Club Tijuana O/U 2.5 Corners	Under	56	0.490	$27.44	$26.88	+4800.0%
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	8	0.465	$3.49	$3.34	+2225.0%
Will Meta (META) close above $560 on August 5?	No	63	0.038	$2.40	$1.64	+217.1%
Exact Score: FC Seoul 3 - 0 Daejeon Hana Citizen FC?	Yes	8	0.255	$1.91	$1.76	+1175.0%
Exact Score: FC Seoul 0 - 2 Daejeon Hana Citizen FC?	Yes	8	0.255	$1.91	$1.76	+1175.0%
Exact Score: FC Seoul 3 - 2 Daejeon Hana Citizen FC?	Yes	8	0.255	$1.91	$1.76	+1175.0%
Exact Score: FC Seoul 1 - 0 Daejeon Hana Citizen FC?	Yes	8	0.255	$1.91	$1.76	+1175.0%
Exact Score: FC Seoul 2 - 0 Daejeon Hana Citizen FC?	Yes	8	0.255	$1.91	$1.76	+1175.0%
Exact Score: FC Seoul 2 - 1 Daejeon Hana Citizen FC?	Yes	8	0.255	$1.91	$1.76	+1175.0%
Exact Score: FC Seoul 1 - 3 Daejeon Hana Citizen FC?	Yes	8	0.255	$1.91	$1.76	+1175.0%
Exact Score: FC Seoul 2 - 3 Daejeon Hana Citizen FC?	Yes	8	0.255	$1.91	$1.76	+1175.0%
Exact Score: FC Seoul 3 - 1 Daejeon Hana Citizen FC?	Yes	8	0.255	$1.91	$1.76	+1175.0%
Exact Score: FC Seoul 1 - 2 Daejeon Hana Citizen FC?	Yes	7	0.255	$1.91	$1.76	+1175.0%
Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks	Chiba Lotte Marines	3	0.500	$1.75	$1.69	+2893.5%
Will CD Limache win on 2026-08-01?	Yes	7	0.205	$1.53	$1.23	+412.4%
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5	Under	3	0.450	$1.34	$1.19	+800.0%
Exact Score: FC Seoul 1 - 1 Daejeon Hana Citizen FC?	Yes	8	0.140	$1.05	$0.90	+600.0%
Will Aleksandar Vučić win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	25	0.042	$1.04	$0.90	+635.8%
Will Rihanna release an album in 2026?	Yes	6	0.160	$0.93	$0.53	+128.6%
Will Ashtin Earle be cast in Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	Yes	2	0.500	$0.89	$0.81	+1149.9%
Will the 2026 Guinea-Bissau constitutional referendum pass?	No	10	0.080	$0.77	$0.10	+14.3%
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?	Yes	2	0.309	$0.60	$0.55	+1090.5%
Will ground beef hit $7 per pound in 2026?	No	1	0.530	$0.59	$0.57	+2549.4%
Exact Score: FC Seoul 2 - 2 Daejeon Hana Citizen FC?	Yes	7	0.070	$0.52	$0.37	+249.9%
Will Miranda McWhorter be cast in Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	Yes	1	0.450	$0.47	$0.45	+2150.0%