Log in
Trader leaderboard/Trader

Trader

0x0484bf76425db5021ce2d369f78fc125906d4830
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$783
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$85
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
53%
5,810W / 5,061L · 46 open
Win Return (30d)
53%
5,828W / 5,089L
Trades (30d)
10,917
across 1,193 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
−$0.66
avg win $21 · loss $27
Profit Factor
0.95
$13,764 won / $14,547 lost
Reward / Risk
0.79
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$333
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $25,949 · all-time $715,536

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 54.0% 13,896W/11,841L 3158 $97,215
🌤 Weather 51.6% 925W/868L 342 $5,835

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

57 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5? Yes 119 1.000 $119.15 $39.10 +48.8%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5? Yes 85 1.000 $84.50 $47.16 +126.3%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 5? Yes 46 1.000 $45.59 $29.48 +183.0%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 5? No 43 1.000 $43.03 $9.56 +28.6%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 5? Yes 31 1.000 $30.98 $17.04 +122.3%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 5? Yes 23 0.998 $23.26 $19.99 +611.2%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 5? No 22 1.000 $22.35 $5.32 +31.2%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 5? No 18 1.000 $17.75 $8.20 +85.9%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 5? No 15 1.000 $14.58 $2.78 +23.6%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 5? No 12 1.000 $12.28 $5.50 +81.1%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 5? No 12 0.999 $12.21 $1.30 +11.9%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5? Yes 16 0.745 $11.84 $1.83 +18.3%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 5? No 10 1.000 $10.40 $3.42 +49.0%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 5? No 10 1.000 $10.39 $3.43 +49.3%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 5? No 10 1.000 $10.09 $2.25 +28.6%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 5? Yes 9 1.000 $9.05 $6.21 +218.6%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 5? No 8 0.985 $7.61 $2.39 +45.8%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5? Yes 10 0.705 $6.93 $0.05 +0.7%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 5? No 7 1.000 $6.51 $1.04 +18.9%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 5? No 6 1.000 $5.95 $2.18 +57.7%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 5? Yes 10 0.605 $5.85 $1.21 +26.0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 5? No 5 1.000 $5.20 $0.79 +17.9%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 5? No 6 0.805 $5.00 $-0.24 -4.6%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 5? No 7 0.690 $4.84 $0.77 +18.9%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 5? No 3 0.915 $3.08 $0.52 +20.4%