PnL (30d)

−$126

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$10

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-10.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

45%

185W / 228L · 66 open

Win Return (30d)

43%

204W / 268L · 7 open

Trades (30d)

479

across 187 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$0.80

avg win $4 · loss $4

Profit Factor

0.67

$253 won / $379 lost

Reward / Risk

0.82

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$23

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	44.8% 185W/228L	187	$1,839
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/12L	6	$33
₿ Crypto	37.5% 3W/5L	3	$31
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/3L	1	$12
🏛 Politics	100.0% 2W/0L	1	$16
🤖 Tech	—	1	$6

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Amazon 2026 capex above $220B?	No	5	0.340	$1.58	$-0.21	-11.5%
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2027?	Yes	12	0.110	$1.29	$-0.71	-35.3%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	1	0.970	$1.08	$0.08	+7.6%