PnL (30d)

+$196

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$2,756

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

90%

37W / 4L · 190 open

Win Return (30d)

82%

189W / 42L

Trades (30d)

231

across 27 markets · ~9 per market

EV / position

+$19.63

avg win $137 · loss $157

Profit Factor

1.31

$822 won / $626 lost

Reward / Risk

0.88

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	90.2% 37W/4L	27	$25,109
🏛 Politics	100.0% 4W/0L	5	$2,573

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

17 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more?	Yes	2,554	0.958	$2,445.02	$361.53	+17.4%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	6,858	0.261	$1,786.61	$74.91	+4.4%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	8,500	0.165	$1,402.54	$49.07	+3.6%
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	2,523	0.414	$1,045.79	$274.03	+35.5%
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	976	0.966	$942.94	$289.68	+44.3%
Will Suverēnā Vara (SV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	Yes	7,167	0.115	$820.59	$202.98	+32.9%
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 20,000-30,000?	Yes	1,098	0.710	$779.49	$415.99	+114.4%
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	1,813	0.325	$589.23	$135.15	+29.8%
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	2,523	0.105	$264.93	$-135.26	-33.8%
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 30,000-40,000?	No	309	0.780	$241.05	$52.40	+27.8%
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	1,291	0.165	$213.01	$12.36	+6.2%
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 40,000-50,000?	No	133	0.987	$130.97	$35.65	+37.4%
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 10,000-20,000?	Yes	1,437	0.072	$104.17	$51.24	+96.8%
Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?	No	234	0.285	$66.61	$31.54	+89.9%
Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?	Yes	481	0.105	$50.54	$0.75	+1.5%
Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	No	17	0.984	$17.00	$4.23	+33.1%
Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	Yes	116	0.049	$5.69	$-13.23	-69.9%