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outcomes

0x03c8118da338a9dafb2bae9a4e89055203a30e01
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$338
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$40
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+23.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
11W / 0L · 16 open
Win Return (30d)
60%
12W / 8L · 7 open
Trades (30d)
27
across 7 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$338.18
avg win $338
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,000 · all-time $1,165,115

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 87.5% 14W/2L 10 $2,421
🏛 Politics 100.0% 11W/0L 3 $1,728

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

14 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 2,000 0.723 $1,445.00 $445.00 +44.5%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 2,000 0.278 $555.00 $-445.00 -44.5%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes 2,000 0.250 $500.00 $0.00 +0.0%
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes 5,000 0.065 $325.00 $-69.99 -17.7%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes 1,500 0.185 $277.50 $-105.00 -27.5%
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes 2,000 0.076 $153.00 $-147.00 -49.0%
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes 2,500 0.044 $110.00 $-32.50 -22.8%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes 1,000 0.095 $95.00 $-105.00 -52.5%
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 60,969 0.002 $91.45 $-165.10 -64.4%
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? Yes 3,641 0.024 $85.57 $-3.13 -3.5%
SBF released from custody in 2026? Yes 1,791 0.043 $77.74 $-6.38 -7.6%
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes 500 0.065 $32.48 $-12.49 -27.8%
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes 250 0.080 $20.00 $-17.50 -46.7%
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver before 2027? Yes 24 0.080 $1.96 $0.73 +60.0%