| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
10,000 |
0.595 |
$5,950.00 |
$550.00 |
+10.2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
No |
4,357 |
0.961 |
$4,185.03 |
$177.05 |
+4.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
10,000 |
0.405 |
$4,050.00 |
$-450.00 |
-10.0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
4,000 |
0.945 |
$3,779.84 |
$379.41 |
+11.2% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto |
Nothing |
3,000 |
0.964 |
$2,892.46 |
$40.17 |
+1.4% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,400 |
0.925 |
$2,220.00 |
$26.00 |
+1.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? |
No |
2,000 |
0.972 |
$1,943.00 |
$77.33 |
+4.1% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
2,000 |
0.963 |
$1,925.00 |
$47.00 |
+2.5% |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,000 |
0.945 |
$1,890.00 |
$60.01 |
+3.3% |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? |
No |
2,000 |
0.907 |
$1,815.00 |
$-85.00 |
-4.5% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.460 |
$1,378.66 |
$-99.06 |
-6.7% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
1,300 |
0.955 |
$1,240.84 |
$32.85 |
+2.7% |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? |
Yes |
1,172 |
0.984 |
$1,152.35 |
$95.09 |
+9.0% |
| Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
No |
1,104 |
0.985 |
$1,086.61 |
$86.61 |
+8.7% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
1,100 |
0.935 |
$1,028.76 |
$92.36 |
+9.9% |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,106 |
0.930 |
$1,028.65 |
$-13.05 |
-1.3% |
| Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? |
No |
1,000 |
1.000 |
$999.49 |
$30.50 |
+3.1% |
| Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? |
No |
1,000 |
1.000 |
$999.28 |
$9.05 |
+0.9% |
| Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? |
No |
1,000 |
0.999 |
$998.50 |
$78.50 |
+8.5% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
1,000 |
0.978 |
$977.50 |
$17.50 |
+1.8% |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.977 |
$976.50 |
$111.87 |
+12.9% |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? |
No |
1,039 |
0.935 |
$971.13 |
$71.37 |
+7.9% |
| Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? |
No |
1,000 |
0.964 |
$963.50 |
$23.50 |
+2.5% |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? |
Yes |
1,100 |
0.875 |
$962.50 |
$17.50 |
+1.9% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.962 |
$961.50 |
$12.21 |
+1.3% |