PnL (30d)

−$642

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$302

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-11.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

7%

1W / 14L · 17 open

Win Return (30d)

34%

11W / 21L

Trades (30d)

32

across 11 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$160.58

avg win $14 · loss $219

Profit Factor

0.02

$14 won / $656 lost

Reward / Risk

0.06

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	61.3% 46W/29L	24	$16,366
🏛 Politics	100.0% 1W/0L	4	$1,926

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	4,435	0.675	$2,993.64	$374.11	+14.3%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	2,492	0.940	$2,340.87	$150.74	+6.9%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	4,719	0.357	$1,684.82	$-213.70	-11.3%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	2,521	0.665	$1,676.28	$104.62	+6.7%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	809	0.997	$806.38	$191.17	+31.1%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	No	400	0.964	$385.60	$19.67	+5.4%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	250	0.954	$238.62	$33.73	+16.5%
Will Josh Elliott win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	1,120	0.019	$21.84	$-47.54	-68.5%
Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?	No	316	0.016	$5.05	$-16.39	-76.4%
Will 4 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?	Yes	304	0.001	$0.15	$-77.64	-99.8%