| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
14 |
0.886 |
$12.77 |
$2.77 |
+27.7% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
24 |
0.460 |
$11.21 |
$1.21 |
+12.1% |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
502 |
0.019 |
$9.53 |
$-1.47 |
-13.4% |
| Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B? |
Yes |
76 |
0.105 |
$8.03 |
$-13.23 |
-62.2% |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
183 |
0.040 |
$7.23 |
$-3.77 |
-34.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.345 |
$6.97 |
$-3.03 |
-30.3% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? |
Yes |
6 |
0.880 |
$5.30 |
$0.30 |
+6.0% |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? |
No |
6 |
0.825 |
$5.29 |
$0.29 |
+5.8% |
| Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? |
No |
5 |
0.935 |
$5.14 |
$0.14 |
+2.7% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Yes |
30 |
0.165 |
$4.99 |
$-13.01 |
-72.3% |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? |
Yes |
6 |
0.875 |
$4.97 |
$-0.03 |
-0.6% |
| Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
6 |
0.677 |
$4.13 |
$-0.87 |
-17.4% |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? |
Yes |
5 |
0.815 |
$4.07 |
$1.17 |
+40.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
6 |
0.625 |
$4.06 |
$-0.94 |
-18.8% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? |
Yes |
5 |
0.721 |
$3.71 |
$-1.29 |
-25.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026? |
Yes |
62 |
0.055 |
$3.40 |
$-3.39 |
-49.9% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
3 |
0.835 |
$2.78 |
$1.78 |
+178.3% |
| OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? |
Yes |
6 |
0.386 |
$2.19 |
$-2.81 |
-56.2% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? |
Yes |
42 |
0.049 |
$2.02 |
$-2.98 |
-59.6% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027? |
Yes |
15 |
0.135 |
$1.99 |
$-3.01 |
-60.3% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
Yes |
26 |
0.075 |
$1.97 |
$-3.03 |
-60.5% |
| Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
15 |
0.130 |
$1.91 |
$-3.09 |
-61.8% |
| Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? |
Yes |
8 |
0.195 |
$1.62 |
$-3.38 |
-67.5% |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? |
Yes |
4 |
0.410 |
$1.61 |
$-0.39 |
-19.6% |
| Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? |
Yes |
9 |
0.162 |
$1.52 |
$-3.48 |
-69.5% |