| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? |
Yes |
943 |
0.982 |
$926.28 |
$99.92 |
+12.1% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? |
Yes |
399 |
0.835 |
$332.79 |
$-9.52 |
-2.8% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
400 |
0.490 |
$196.00 |
$0.30 |
+0.2% |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? |
No |
213 |
0.845 |
$179.61 |
$109.87 |
+157.5% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
2,208 |
0.065 |
$143.51 |
$-195.82 |
-57.7% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
300 |
0.325 |
$97.51 |
$-12.51 |
-11.4% |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
Yes |
218 |
0.385 |
$84.01 |
$37.82 |
+81.9% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
239 |
0.259 |
$61.74 |
$-34.51 |
-35.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
108 |
0.515 |
$55.37 |
$-5.38 |
-8.9% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.440 |
$44.04 |
$29.03 |
+193.3% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
Yes |
231 |
0.170 |
$39.27 |
$5.27 |
+15.5% |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? |
No |
287 |
0.105 |
$30.12 |
$-190.11 |
-86.3% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
400 |
0.075 |
$30.00 |
$-2.00 |
-6.2% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
29 |
0.745 |
$21.60 |
$11.01 |
+103.9% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.515 |
$10.30 |
$-3.10 |
-23.1% |
| Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
Yes |
55 |
0.126 |
$6.85 |
$-1.70 |
-19.8% |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
1,920 |
0.002 |
$2.88 |
$-44.03 |
-93.9% |
| Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
520 |
0.004 |
$1.82 |
$-8.58 |
-82.5% |
| Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.003 |
$0.25 |
$-1.15 |
-82.1% |