thomyorke-802
0x02fc81db41ced07d14c270f9174f3823c208ddc6
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$14
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-7.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
65%
13W / 7L · 5 open
Win Return (30d)
60%
15W / 10L
Trades (30d)
25
across 17 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$1.09
avg win $2 · loss $7
Profit Factor
0.58
$20 won / $34 lost
Reward / Risk
0.36
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $53 · all-time $131,690
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
46 |
0.750 |
$34.20 |
$-2.80 |
-7.6% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.870 |
$17.65 |
$-0.35 |
-1.9% |
| Will the New York Mets clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? |
No |
16 |
0.967 |
$15.68 |
$-0.32 |
-2.0% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
No |
16 |
0.946 |
$14.99 |
$-0.01 |
-0.1% |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? |
Yes |
19 |
0.385 |
$7.21 |
$-2.79 |
-27.9% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.865 |
$6.76 |
$1.76 |
+35.2% |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 |
No |
6 |
0.865 |
$5.03 |
$0.03 |
+0.6% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
6 |
0.460 |
$2.67 |
$-2.33 |
-46.5% |