thomyorke-802
0x02fc81db41ced07d14c270f9174f3823c208ddc6
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$2
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-6.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
67%
2W / 1L · 5 open
Win Return (30d)
38%
3W / 5L
Trades (30d)
8
across 4 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$1.00
avg win $0 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.14
$0 won / $2 lost
Reward / Risk
0.14
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $53 · all-time $131,690
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
46 |
0.755 |
$34.43 |
$-2.57 |
-7.0% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.870 |
$17.65 |
$-0.35 |
-1.9% |
| Will the New York Mets clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? |
No |
16 |
0.972 |
$15.76 |
$-0.24 |
-1.5% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
No |
16 |
0.950 |
$15.05 |
$0.05 |
+0.3% |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? |
Yes |
19 |
0.385 |
$7.21 |
$-2.79 |
-27.9% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.845 |
$6.60 |
$1.60 |
+32.0% |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 |
No |
6 |
0.865 |
$5.03 |
$0.03 |
+0.6% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
6 |
0.460 |
$2.67 |
$-2.33 |
-46.5% |