ignayes
0x02e1eab16b621da556c1447f0a01e963d8fdc7ea
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$6
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
—
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
58%
7W / 5L
Trades (30d)
12
across 7 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
—
no settled positions
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $203 · all-time $2,671
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
No |
66 |
0.785 |
$52.12 |
$14.21 |
+37.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
31 |
0.835 |
$26.08 |
$3.74 |
+16.7% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
No |
34 |
0.680 |
$22.79 |
$0.40 |
+1.8% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? |
No |
26 |
0.830 |
$21.52 |
$3.46 |
+19.2% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? |
No |
26 |
0.775 |
$19.98 |
$4.25 |
+27.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat? |
Yes |
15 |
0.705 |
$10.58 |
$-0.23 |
-2.1% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
18 |
0.044 |
$0.81 |
$-0.59 |
-42.4% |