PnL (30d)

+$8

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$21

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

70%

57W / 25L · 44 open

Win Return (30d)

63%

79W / 47L

Trades (30d)

126

across 48 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$0.23

avg win $1 · loss $5

Profit Factor

1.30

$34 won / $26 lost

Reward / Risk

0.22

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$10

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	69.5% 57W/25L	48	$6,008
🏛 Politics	40.0% 4W/6L	14	$953
🎬 Culture	33.3% 2W/4L	4	$26
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/2L	2	$105

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?	No	100	0.910	$91.00	$-6.70	-6.9%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	630	0.135	$84.73	$-5.36	-5.9%
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	100	0.810	$81.00	$-1.00	-1.2%
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	100	0.770	$77.00	$-7.00	-8.3%
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?	No	70	0.920	$64.44	$-4.16	-6.1%
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?	No	70	0.902	$63.17	$-4.30	-6.4%
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?	No	60	0.964	$57.81	$-0.21	-0.4%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	172	0.298	$51.29	$1.29	+2.6%
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Yes	160	0.120	$19.20	$-28.80	-60.0%