PnL (30d)

−$8,298

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$15

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

96%

2,498W / 114L · 50 open

Win Return (30d)

96%

2,507W / 117L · 38 open

Trades (30d)

2,662

across 304 markets · ~9 per market

EV / position

−$28.52

avg win $14 · loss $1,767

Profit Factor

0.33

$4,069 won / $12,367 lost

Reward / Risk

0.01

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$11,922

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	95.6% 2,498W/114L	304	$999,389
⚽ Sports	96.5% 1,388W/50L	147	$747,390
🏛 Politics	92.3% 36W/3L	10	$165
🎬 Culture	92.3% 36W/3L	10	$165

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

19 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	30,000	0.425	$12,750.00	$11,596.17	+1005.0%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	30,000	0.255	$7,650.00	$6,496.17	+563.0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	30,000	0.178	$5,355.00	$4,201.17	+364.1%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	30,000	0.075	$2,250.00	$1,096.17	+95.0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	30,000	0.021	$630.00	$-523.83	-45.4%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	30,000	0.018	$525.00	$-628.83	-54.5%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	30,000	0.006	$195.00	$-958.83	-83.1%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	30,000	0.003	$75.00	$-1,078.83	-93.5%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	30,000	0.002	$45.00	$-1,108.83	-96.1%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	30,000	0.001	$30.00	$-1,123.83	-97.4%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	30,000	0.001	$15.00	$-1,138.83	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	30,000	0.001	$15.00	$-1,138.83	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	30,000	0.001	$15.00	$-1,138.83	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	30,000	0.001	$15.00	$-1,138.83	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	30,000	0.001	$15.00	$-1,138.83	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	30,000	0.001	$15.00	$-1,138.83	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	30,000	0.001	$15.00	$-1,138.83	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	26,099	0.001	$13.05	$-990.75	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	21,172	0.001	$10.59	$-803.71	-98.7%