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Trader leaderboard/zb8

zb8

0x0224bb9eb0a5c9fd261ac9123a72cbdd5748292a
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$11,373
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1,721
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-4.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
49%
96W / 101L · 38 open
Win Return (30d)
50%
116W / 114L · 5 open
Trades (30d)
235
across 24 markets · ~10 per market
EV / position
−$874.86
avg win $1,411 · loss $4,533
Profit Factor
0.50
$11,291 won / $22,664 lost
Reward / Risk
0.31
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$15,507
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $911,355 · all-time $13,179,278

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 56.7% 1,418W/1,083L 138 $1,820,701
⚽ Sports 64.0% 366W/206L 27 $247,856
🏛 Politics 5.7% 6W/99L 13 $145,583
💵 Economy 22.2% 2W/7L 2 $47,950
🎬 Culture 100.0% 4W/0L 1 $30,659

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

27 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? No 70,414 0.987 $69,463.60 $2,591.17 +3.9%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 45,939 0.835 $38,359.33 $4,583.46 +13.6%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No 33,237 0.735 $24,428.85 $848.40 +3.6%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 28,221 0.775 $21,871.38 $3,426.13 +18.6%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 17,197 0.710 $12,209.57 $563.94 +4.8%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes 22,989 0.455 $10,459.92 $358.37 +3.5%
Iran Nuke before 2027? No 7,952 0.949 $7,546.85 $244.50 +3.3%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 8,000 0.865 $6,919.99 $440.00 +6.8%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 10,174 0.675 $6,867.52 $784.81 +12.9%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? Yes 6,334 0.987 $6,248.06 $416.49 +7.1%
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner Team Resilience 5,588 1.000 $5,585.32 $2,928.91 +110.3%
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? Yes 4,771 0.805 $3,840.59 $-262.40 -6.4%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group Dplus KIA Challengers 3,437 0.997 $3,425.10 $12.49 +0.4%
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? No 2,648 0.980 $2,593.64 $-11.92 -0.5%
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner JD Gaming 4,000 0.600 $2,399.99 $-280.00 -10.4%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No 2,081 0.942 $1,958.85 $28.09 +1.5%
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? No 26,292 0.034 $893.92 $-3,917.28 -81.4%
Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by more than 15%? Yes 594 0.988 $586.80 $1.78 +0.3%
Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton? Yes 510 0.991 $505.90 $41.35 +8.9%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 7,895 0.059 $461.86 $-769.76 -62.5%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winner Nongshim Esports Academy 320 0.996 $318.98 $0.96 +0.3%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? No 259 0.965 $249.91 $1.29 +0.5%
Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31? Yes 87 0.650 $56.40 $-16.20 -22.3%
Will Shelby Campbell be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 15,000 0.001 $7.50 $-461.25 -98.4%
Will Anthony Carbonaro be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 15,000 0.001 $7.50 $-461.25 -98.4%