| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
141 |
0.835 |
$117.72 |
$8.15 |
+7.4% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
80 |
0.855 |
$68.54 |
$5.99 |
+9.6% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
101 |
0.675 |
$68.09 |
$1.54 |
+2.3% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
58 |
0.823 |
$47.62 |
$0.30 |
+0.6% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
49 |
0.853 |
$41.70 |
$3.74 |
+9.9% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
25 |
0.963 |
$24.09 |
$-0.16 |
-0.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
38 |
0.615 |
$23.38 |
$1.37 |
+6.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
26 |
0.895 |
$22.83 |
$7.38 |
+47.7% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.905 |
$18.27 |
$0.50 |
+2.8% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
23 |
0.785 |
$17.93 |
$5.94 |
+49.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
20 |
0.785 |
$15.76 |
$5.14 |
+48.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
16 |
0.945 |
$14.99 |
$0.24 |
+1.6% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
8 |
0.987 |
$8.16 |
$0.03 |
+0.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
7 |
0.999 |
$7.45 |
$1.03 |
+16.1% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
6 |
0.993 |
$6.18 |
$0.16 |
+2.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
8 |
0.675 |
$5.37 |
$-0.04 |
-0.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
5 |
0.999 |
$4.56 |
$0.74 |
+19.5% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
4 |
0.945 |
$4.23 |
$0.11 |
+2.8% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
5 |
0.705 |
$3.76 |
$0.61 |
+19.5% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
Yes |
3 |
0.855 |
$2.71 |
$-0.02 |
-0.6% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
Yes |
3 |
0.820 |
$2.62 |
$0.13 |
+5.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
2 |
0.705 |
$1.55 |
$0.43 |
+38.2% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
1 |
0.939 |
$1.24 |
$0.42 |
+51.9% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.964 |
$1.20 |
$0.18 |
+17.5% |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.895 |
$1.09 |
$-0.01 |
-0.6% |