PnL (30d)

+$3,294

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$632

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+20.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

51%

174W / 166L · 65 open

Win Return (30d)

46%

188W / 217L

Trades (30d)

405

across 38 markets · ~11 per market

EV / position

+$131.76

avg win $296 · loss $77

Profit Factor

4.88

$4,142 won / $848 lost

Reward / Risk

3.84

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$8

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	51.2% 174W/166L	38	$23,212
🏛 Politics	70.0% 7W/3L	7	$1,741
🎬 Culture	50.0% 3W/3L	2	$567
💵 Economy	100.0% 4W/0L	1	$31

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	3,317	0.875	$2,902.37	$-16.49	-0.6%
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	435	0.838	$364.20	$-10.36	-2.8%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	331	0.953	$315.23	$83.48	+36.0%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	No	4,456	0.048	$211.64	$-629.39	-74.8%
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	699	0.215	$150.38	$-63.43	-29.7%
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	139	0.162	$22.44	$4.29	+23.7%
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	No	11	0.890	$9.47	$2.66	+39.1%
Will 50 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?	No	5	0.704	$3.58	$-0.38	-9.5%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	8	0.396	$3.31	$1.24	+60.3%
Will 51 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?	No	5	0.654	$3.27	$-0.68	-17.2%