| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
210,000 |
0.790 |
$166,005.00 |
$61,005.00 |
+58.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
210,000 |
0.209 |
$43,995.00 |
$-61,005.00 |
-58.1% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
43,940 |
0.963 |
$42,292.32 |
$2,943.15 |
+7.5% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
68,601 |
0.375 |
$25,725.35 |
$-30,549.70 |
-54.3% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
29,851 |
0.540 |
$16,119.62 |
$7,226.07 |
+81.3% |
| Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
No |
11,616 |
0.945 |
$10,977.15 |
$1,784.22 |
+19.4% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? |
No |
11,467 |
0.957 |
$10,967.75 |
$444.97 |
+4.2% |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? |
No |
11,207 |
0.866 |
$9,699.68 |
$-422.22 |
-4.2% |
| Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? |
No |
13,472 |
0.675 |
$9,093.53 |
$-1,143.76 |
-11.2% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
11,026 |
0.745 |
$8,208.75 |
$939.61 |
+12.9% |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
No |
8,285 |
0.865 |
$7,166.29 |
$208.06 |
+3.0% |
| Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? |
No |
7,856 |
0.790 |
$6,206.01 |
$594.10 |
+10.6% |
| Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist in the US for 2026? |
No |
5,160 |
0.971 |
$5,008.14 |
$141.67 |
+2.9% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? |
No |
5,064 |
0.905 |
$4,583.06 |
$243.39 |
+5.6% |
| Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? |
No |
4,347 |
0.980 |
$4,260.33 |
$-0.33 |
-0.0% |
| Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? |
No |
4,170 |
0.972 |
$4,052.82 |
$216.82 |
+5.7% |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? |
No |
7,195 |
0.515 |
$3,705.46 |
$-748.19 |
-16.8% |
| Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? |
No |
3,305 |
0.955 |
$3,156.39 |
$21.45 |
+0.7% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House |
No |
2,979 |
0.989 |
$2,944.94 |
$13.41 |
+0.5% |
| Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? |
No |
3,361 |
0.835 |
$2,806.49 |
$-71.14 |
-2.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? |
No |
2,903 |
0.908 |
$2,637.05 |
$120.46 |
+4.8% |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
No |
3,822 |
0.680 |
$2,599.12 |
$-817.74 |
-23.9% |
| Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title? |
No |
5,031 |
0.453 |
$2,279.20 |
$-1,206.63 |
-34.6% |
| Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup? |
No |
2,360 |
0.959 |
$2,262.06 |
$0.29 |
+0.0% |
| Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,680 |
0.840 |
$2,251.34 |
$-124.99 |
-5.3% |