PnL (30d)

+$8,521

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$20,597

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+2.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

35%

2,829W / 5,349L · 11,313 open

Win Return (30d)

67%

12,969W / 6,521L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

19,491

across 214 markets · ~91 per market

EV / position

+$135.25

avg win $968 · loss $906

Profit Factor

1.34

$33,897 won / $25,376 lost

Reward / Risk

1.07

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$167

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	34.6% 2,829W/5,349L	214	$520,120
🏛 Politics	6.2% 1W/15L	44	$135,549
⚽ Sports	—	17	$3,699
🤖 Tech	—	1	$0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	267,546	0.790	$211,495.20	$69,250.83	+48.7%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	178,029	0.135	$24,033.98	$-8,533.49	-26.2%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	44,561	0.460	$20,475.90	$1,967.60	+10.6%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	128,795	0.143	$18,482.02	$10,992.10	+146.8%
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	44,129	0.405	$17,872.17	$-1,438.86	-7.5%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	80,000	0.209	$16,760.00	$-23,240.00	-58.1%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	29,468	0.555	$16,354.87	$1,492.27	+10.0%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	480,091	0.022	$10,802.04	$9,133.72	+547.5%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	99,622	0.090	$9,015.76	$6,075.63	+206.6%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	20,804	0.405	$8,425.80	$289.45	+3.6%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	95,163	0.086	$8,136.46	$4,626.84	+131.8%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	310,055	0.025	$7,596.36	$1,739.10	+29.7%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	290,834	0.024	$6,980.03	$2,721.05	+63.9%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	212,764	0.029	$6,276.53	$3,239.76	+106.7%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	9,542	0.545	$5,200.56	$-6.84	-0.1%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	97,187	0.052	$5,102.32	$2,223.83	+77.3%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	15,354	0.325	$4,990.02	$-956.58	-16.1%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	310,612	0.015	$4,659.17	$-1,017.25	-17.9%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	155,238	0.025	$3,943.04	$1,008.58	+34.4%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	399,309	0.009	$3,793.43	$-963.53	-20.3%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	27,028	0.135	$3,635.25	$782.24	+27.4%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	26,918	0.135	$3,633.97	$546.28	+17.7%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	141,649	0.025	$3,597.89	$1,670.04	+86.6%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	12,856	0.278	$3,567.47	$647.66	+22.2%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	114,187	0.030	$3,482.71	$822.38	+30.9%