PnL (30d)

+$42

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$243

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

54%

37W / 32L · 99 open

Win Return (30d)

64%

108W / 60L

Trades (30d)

168

across 18 markets · ~9 per market

EV / position

+$3.85

avg win $62 · loss $65

Profit Factor

1.13

$369 won / $327 lost

Reward / Risk

0.94

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$6

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	54.7% 227W/188L	152	$24,436
⚽ Sports	52.0% 13W/12L	18	$1,555
🏛 Politics	71.4% 5W/2L	9	$6,348
🎬 Culture	—	1	$49
🤖 Tech	—	1	$27

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	No	543	0.922	$500.70	$12.69	+2.6%
Will Marcelo Aro win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	288	0.250	$71.89	$5.70	+8.6%
Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	449	0.142	$63.94	$-27.06	-29.7%
Will Lucas Ribeiro win the Governor of Paraíba election?	Yes	62	0.745	$45.92	$0.92	+2.1%
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	58	0.775	$44.67	$6.67	+17.6%
Will Rafael Leao join Fenerbahce?	No	51	0.870	$44.62	$4.62	+11.5%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	Yes	104	0.410	$42.80	$13.80	+47.6%
Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	No	52	0.783	$40.96	$1.96	+5.0%
Will Joao Cancelo join Barcelona?	Yes	47	0.825	$38.93	$-0.07	-0.2%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	95	0.205	$19.52	$-0.48	-2.4%
Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?	No	112	0.041	$4.61	$-14.39	-75.7%