| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
97 |
0.900 |
$87.05 |
$6.77 |
+8.4% |
| KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? |
No |
77 |
0.951 |
$73.13 |
$0.12 |
+0.2% |
| Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? |
No |
89 |
0.585 |
$51.79 |
$2.21 |
+4.5% |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
47 |
0.987 |
$46.69 |
$0.01 |
+0.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? |
Yes |
65 |
0.700 |
$45.42 |
$1.95 |
+4.5% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
69 |
0.610 |
$42.15 |
$4.42 |
+11.7% |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? |
No |
44 |
0.905 |
$39.97 |
$-0.66 |
-1.6% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? |
Yes |
233 |
0.125 |
$29.15 |
$-5.83 |
-16.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
44 |
0.481 |
$21.38 |
$-6.13 |
-22.3% |
| Haiti elections delayed again? |
Yes |
15 |
0.991 |
$15.31 |
$0.05 |
+0.4% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
98 |
0.130 |
$12.74 |
$-6.86 |
-35.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
Yes |
392 |
0.032 |
$12.36 |
$0.20 |
+1.6% |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.845 |
$8.65 |
$-0.12 |
-1.3% |
| Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
81 |
0.088 |
$7.17 |
$-0.28 |
-3.8% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? |
Yes |
59 |
0.100 |
$5.95 |
$0.59 |
+11.1% |
| Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections? |
Yes |
23 |
0.251 |
$5.76 |
$-1.97 |
-25.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
17 |
0.315 |
$5.51 |
$0.96 |
+21.2% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? |
No |
10 |
0.515 |
$5.26 |
$0.05 |
+1.0% |
| Will Egypt join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
No |
3 |
0.888 |
$2.41 |
$-0.22 |
-8.5% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9? |
Yes |
139 |
0.014 |
$1.95 |
$-0.63 |
-24.4% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
1 |
0.095 |
$0.13 |
$-0.23 |
-63.4% |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
5 |
0.006 |
$0.03 |
$0.02 |
+199.0% |