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Trader leaderboard/0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658

0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658

0x005ed998fcb786679eb8bfd0d20c15c0903d6d8e
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$385
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$109
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-3.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
51%
126W / 120L · 134 open
Win Return (30d)
61%
230W / 148L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
380
across 57 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
−$11.01
avg win $15 · loss $50
Profit Factor
0.44
$308 won / $694 lost
Reward / Risk
0.30
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$165
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $47,347 · all-time $1,590,436

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 53.8% 11,736W/10,085L 6574 $264,239
🌤 Weather 51.6% 572W/537L 386 $9,252
⚽ Sports 36.0% 145W/258L 251 $3,467
🏛 Politics 46.1% 88W/103L 62 $6,862
🎬 Culture 39.1% 61W/95L 36 $3,062
💵 Economy 34.1% 15W/29L 15 $3,155
₿ Crypto 76.5% 13W/4L 14 $176
🤖 Tech 13.8% 4W/25L 5 $349

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

58 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 738 0.980 $723.18 $14.40 +2.0%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? No 33 0.996 $32.51 $32.51 +0.0%
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting? No 26 0.988 $25.66 $11.55 +81.9%
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30? Yes 37 0.355 $13.13 $7.85 +148.5%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on August 5? No 9 1.000 $8.90 $8.90 +0.0%
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? No 27 0.215 $5.86 $5.86 +0.0%
Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee? No 11 0.470 $4.94 $-1.89 -27.7%
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? No 41 0.115 $4.70 $4.70 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 5? No 4 1.000 $3.75 $3.75 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 5? No 4 1.000 $3.75 $3.75 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 5? No 4 1.000 $3.75 $0.26 +7.5%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 5? No 4 1.000 $3.75 $1.35 +56.2%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5? No 4 1.000 $3.75 $3.75 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 5? No 4 1.000 $3.75 $3.75 +0.0%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 20 0.185 $3.70 $-2.70 -42.2%
Will Shelby Campbell be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 6,189 0.001 $3.09 $-190.31 -98.4%
Will Anthony Carbonaro be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 6,189 0.001 $3.09 $-190.31 -98.4%
Will Nazmul Hassan be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 6,189 0.001 $3.09 $-190.31 -98.4%
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $325,000 and $330,000 on September 30? Yes 55 0.021 $1.13 $-6.73 -85.6%
Will Haley Stevens win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? No 22 0.034 $0.74 $0.74 +0.0%
Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? No 31 0.024 $0.73 $-1.13 -60.8%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 24 0.021 $0.51 $-1.41 -73.3%
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes 5 0.065 $0.33 $0.33 +0.0%
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 10 0.024 $0.23 $0.23 +0.0%
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes 108 0.002 $0.22 $-3.16 -93.6%