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Trader leaderboard/99problems123

99problems123

0x00425c692a667981118f679ef68fdc775257321e
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$2,867
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-22.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
95%
20W / 1L
Win Return (30d)
95%
20W / 1L
Trades (30d)
21
across 2 markets · ~10 per market
EV / position
−$1,433.69
avg win $2,133 · loss $5,000
Profit Factor
0.43
$2,133 won / $5,000 lost
Reward / Risk
0.43
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $9,765 · all-time $17,838,372

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 18.1% 36W/163L 12 $43,346
🏛 Politics 100.0% 9W/0L 1 $7,570
💵 Economy 100.0% 9W/0L 1 $7,570

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

16 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No 58,243 0.680 $39,604.93 $3,059.95 +8.4%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 13,221 0.165 $2,181.51 $-1,292.96 -37.2%
Deel IPO before 2027? No 855 0.955 $816.34 $243.62 +42.5%
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No 883 0.810 $715.38 $591.74 +478.6%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? No 10,000 0.065 $650.00 $-50.00 -7.1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? Yes 564 0.780 $440.06 $198.43 +82.1%
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes 660 0.650 $429.26 $-9.89 -2.3%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? No 1,633 0.165 $269.45 $-944.26 -77.8%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No 251 0.945 $237.19 $107.09 +82.3%
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No 331 0.500 $165.31 $50.07 +43.5%
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? No 253 0.500 $126.75 $50.70 +66.7%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes 476 0.175 $83.27 $-255.27 -75.4%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes 1,852 0.038 $71.32 $21.02 +41.8%
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 367 0.064 $23.30 $1.67 +7.7%
Discord IPO before 2027? No 15 0.705 $10.31 $6.86 +198.7%
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 17,757 0.001 $8.88 $-28.68 -76.4%