PnL (30d)

+$602

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$493

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+20.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

83%

20W / 4L · 30 open

Win Return (30d)

63%

34W / 20L

Trades (30d)

54

across 12 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

+$200.55

avg win $363 · loss $124

Profit Factor

5.85

$726 won / $124 lost

Reward / Risk

2.93

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	Yes	1,183	0.889	$1,051.95	$102.50	+10.8%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	Yes	2,000	0.275	$550.00	$-60.00	-9.8%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	344	0.725	$249.15	$18.90	+8.2%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	437	0.565	$246.66	$54.54	+28.4%
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	Yes	1,479	0.095	$140.52	$-13.37	-8.7%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?	Yes	303	0.115	$34.84	$-56.04	-61.7%
US x China tariff agreement by August 31?	Yes	82	0.062	$5.05	$1.56	+44.7%