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Trader

0xf5dc834a9a821c6d3f842f53ac608ecd4afedec3
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$95
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+9.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
90%
64W / 7L
Win Return (30d)
90%
64W / 7L
Trades (30d)
71
across 66 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$1.45
avg win $3 · loss $15
Profit Factor
1.91
$201 won / $105 lost
Reward / Risk
0.23
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,528 · all-time $235,266

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

37 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5? No 44 1.000 $44.47 $17.97 +67.8%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 5? No 33 0.999 $32.81 $14.47 +78.9%
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 5? No 33 0.995 $32.51 $17.48 +116.3%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 5? No 64 0.480 $30.50 $-2.83 -8.5%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 5? No 30 0.998 $29.93 $14.93 +99.5%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 6? No 49 0.585 $28.91 $1.89 +7.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 5? No 45 0.585 $26.45 $-4.15 -13.6%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on August 5? No 24 0.980 $23.47 $8.38 +55.6%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 5? No 23 1.000 $23.10 $8.08 +53.8%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5? No 24 0.890 $21.45 $6.51 +43.5%
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? No 26 0.785 $20.72 $4.26 +25.9%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 5? No 39 0.520 $20.34 $0.10 +0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5? No 24 0.845 $20.24 $5.15 +34.1%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 5? No 24 0.815 $19.28 $2.99 +18.4%
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No 16 0.988 $15.76 $0.76 +5.1%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on August 6? No 24 0.635 $15.41 $0.36 +2.4%
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No 16 0.954 $15.38 $0.52 +3.5%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 5? No 25 0.610 $15.35 $0.25 +1.7%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 7? No 34 0.435 $14.87 $-0.17 -1.1%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 6? No 29 0.490 $14.41 $-0.59 -3.9%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 5? No 20 0.715 $14.30 $1.90 +15.3%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 5? No 20 0.680 $13.60 $-0.20 -1.4%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 5? No 28 0.485 $13.59 $-1.54 -10.2%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on August 6? No 24 0.560 $13.41 $-1.68 -11.1%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 5? No 26 0.510 $13.03 $-2.04 -13.6%